{"id":8542,"date":"2022-07-26T11:18:19","date_gmt":"2022-07-26T03:18:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/\/?p=8542"},"modified":"2023-09-11T10:26:00","modified_gmt":"2023-09-11T02:26:00","slug":"what-is-survivorship-bias","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/\/what-is-survivorship-bias\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u7684\u610f\u601d\uff1f\u4f8b\u5b50\uff1f\u53ea\u662f\u300c\u6b7b\u4eba\u4e0d\u6703\u8aaa\u8a71\u300d\u800c\u5df2"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full is-style-rounded\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1000\" height=\"563\" src=/index.html"https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc.jpg\" alt=\"\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\" class=\"wp-image-8544\" title=\"\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\" srcset=\"https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc-768x432.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5404\u4f4d\u8b80\u8005\u6709\u807d\u904e\u300c\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u300d\u9019\u500b\u8a5e\u55ce\uff1f\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6211\u5011\u4e0d\u61c9\u8a72\u76e1\u4fe1\u6210\u529f\u8005\u6240\u8aaa\u7684\u8a71\uff1f\u9996\u5148\u6211\u5011\u8981\u5148\u5f9e\u4e86\u89e3\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u7684\u610f\u601d\u958b\u59cb\u8aaa\u8d77\u3002<strong>\u672c\u7bc7\u4ecb\u7d39\u5c07\u6703\u8b1b\u8ff0\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff0c\u70ba\u4f55\u6211\u5011\u61c9\u8a72\u8981\u907f\u514d\u76e1\u4fe1\u6210\u529f\u4eba\u58eb\u7684\u8a71\u8a9e<\/strong>\uff0c\u60f3\u8981\u907f\u514d\u9019\u7a2e\u8a8d\u77e5\u932f\u8aa4\u7684\u8b80\u8005\u5c31\u4f86\u770b\u770b\u5427\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_64 ez-toc-wrap-center counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div 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title=\"\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\u610f\u601d\uff1f\">\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\u610f\u601d\uff1f<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/what-is-survivorship-bias\/#%E4%BB%A5%E5%95%86%E6%A5%AD%E7%82%BA%E4%BE%8B%E7%9A%84%E5%80%96%E5%AD%98%E8%80%85%E5%81%8F%E5%B7%AE\" title=\"\u4ee5\u5546\u696d\u70ba\u4f8b\u7684\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\">\u4ee5\u5546\u696d\u70ba\u4f8b\u7684\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/what-is-survivorship-bias\/#%E4%BB%A5%E6%8A%95%E8%B3%87%E7%82%BA%E4%BE%8B%E7%9A%84%E5%80%96%E5%AD%98%E8%80%85%E5%81%8F%E5%B7%AE\" title=\"\u4ee5\u6295\u8cc7\u70ba\u4f8b\u7684\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\">\u4ee5\u6295\u8cc7\u70ba\u4f8b\u7684\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/what-is-survivorship-bias\/#%E6%88%91%E5%80%91%E8%A6%81%E5%9B%A0%E6%AD%A4%E4%B8%8D%E8%AA%8D%E5%8F%AF%E6%88%90%E5%8A%9F%E8%80%85%E7%9A%84%E8%A9%B1%E8%AA%9E%E5%97%8E%EF%BC%9F\" title=\"\u6211\u5011\u8981\u56e0\u6b64\u4e0d\u8a8d\u53ef\u6210\u529f\u8005\u7684\u8a71\u8a9e\u55ce\uff1f\">\u6211\u5011\u8981\u56e0\u6b64\u4e0d\u8a8d\u53ef\u6210\u529f\u8005\u7684\u8a71\u8a9e\u55ce\uff1f<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/what-is-survivorship-bias\/#%E5%80%96%E5%AD%98%E8%80%85%E5%81%8F%E5%B7%AE%E4%BB%8B%E7%B4%B9%E7%B5%90%E8%AA%9E\" title=\"\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u4ecb\u7d39\u7d50\u8a9e\">\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u4ecb\u7d39\u7d50\u8a9e<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E5%80%96%E5%AD%98%E8%80%85%E5%81%8F%E5%B7%AE%E7%B6%93%E5%85%B8%E4%BE%8B%E5%AD%90\"><\/span>\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u7d93\u5178\u4f8b\u5b50<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee(Survivorship bias)\u4ea6\u7a31\u751f\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u8aa4\u3001\u5b58\u6d3b\u8005\u504f\u8aa4\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u4e5f\u6709\u8457\u5f88\u591a\u5225\u540d\uff0c\u5982\u300c\u6c89\u9ed8\u7684\u8b49\u64da\u300d\u3001\u300c\u6b7b\u4eba\u4e0d\u6703\u8aaa\u8a71\u300d\u7b49\u5225\u7a31\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u800c\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u4e2d\u6700\u8457\u540d\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\u83ab\u904e\u65bc\u7f8e\u570b\u4e8c\u6b21\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5927\u6230\u6642\u52a0\u5f37\u98db\u6a5f\u7684\u6848\u4f8b\uff0c\u90a3\u6642\u7f8e\u570b\u8ecd\u65b9\u6b63\u56e0\u4e8c\u6b21\u4e16\u754c\u5927\u6230\u800c\u9020\u6210\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u98db\u6a5f\u88ab\u64ca\u843d\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u8ecd\u65b9\u7279\u5225\u524d\u5f80\u54e5\u7f85\u6bd4\u4e9e\u5927\u5b78\u5c0b\u6c42\u5354\u52a9\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u56e0\u70ba\u98db\u6a5f\u7684\u8f09\u91cd\u6709\u9650\uff0c\u53ea\u80fd\u52a0\u5f37\u98db\u6a5f\u90e8\u5206\u5340\u57df\u7684\u9632\u8b77\uff0c\u8ecd\u65b9\u60f3\u8b93\u54e5\u7f85\u6bd4\u4e9e\u5927\u5b78\u627e\u51fa\u54ea\u500b\u5340\u57df\u662f\u6700\u70ba\u91cd\u8981\u7684\uff0c\u8b93\u8ecd\u65b9\u53ef\u4ee5\u9032\u884c\u88dc\u5f37\uff0c\u5c0d\u6b64\u4e9e\u4f2f\u62c9\u7f55\u6c83\u723e\u5fb7(Abraham Wald)\u4fbf\u5c55\u958b\u7814\u7a76\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1000\" height=\"563\" src=/index.html"https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u7684\u7d93\u5178\u6848\u4f8b.jpg\" alt=\"\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u7684\u7d93\u5178\u6848\u4f8b\" class=\"wp-image-8545\" title=\"\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u7684\u7d93\u5178\u6848\u4f8b\" srcset=\"https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u7684\u7d93\u5178\u6848\u4f8b.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u7684\u7d93\u5178\u6848\u4f8b-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u7684\u7d93\u5178\u6848\u4f8b-768x432.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u7684\u7d93\u5178\u6848\u4f8b<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e0a\u5716\u5373\u70ba\u98db\u6a5f\u4e2d\u5f48\u5f8c\u98db\u56de\u7684\u6578\u64da\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u767c\u73fe\u98db\u56de\u7684\u98db\u6a5f\u591a\u662f\u6a5f\u7ffc\u3001\u6a5f\u5c3e\u53d7\u50b7\uff0c\u8ecd\u65b9\u56e0\u6b64\u60f3\u8981\u5c0d\u9019\u4e9b\u5730\u65b9\u505a\u52a0\u5f37\u9632\u8b77\uff0c\u4f46\u6c83\u723e\u5fb7\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u898b\u89e3\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-palette-color-6-background-color has-background\">\u300c\u4f60\u61c9\u8a72\u52a0\u56fa\u767c\u52d5\u6a5f\u8207\u99d5\u99db\u8259\u7684\u5340\u57df\uff0c\u4f60\u61c9\u8a72\u8981\u6e05\u695a\u53d7\u707d\u6700\u6158\u7684\u98db\u6a5f\u662f\u4e0d\u6703\u98db\u56de\u4f86\u7684\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u7684\u6578\u64da\u50c5\u6709\u98db\u56de\u4f86\u7684\u98db\u6a5f\u8cc7\u6599\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u5982\u679c\u98db\u56de\u4f86\u7684\u98db\u6a5f\u9019\u4e9b\u90e8\u5206\u90fd\u6c92\u6709\u53d7\u640d\u50b7\uff0c\u90a3\u9019\u908a\u662f\u6700\u9700\u8981\u9632\u8b77\u7684\u5730\u65b9\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u9019\u4e9b\u98db\u6a5f\u6c38\u9060\u4e0d\u6703\u56de\u4f86\u4e86\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5c0d\u6b64\u6c83\u723e\u5fb7\u5beb\u4e86\u516b\u7bc7\u7d71\u8a08\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u5305\u542b\u98db\u6a5f\u5728\u4e2d\u591a\u5c11\u5c04\u64ca\u5f8c\u9084\u80fd\u5b58\u6d3b\u4e0b\u4f86\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\u7b49\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u5f9e\u5b50\u5f48\u8207\u96c6\u4e2d\u5340\u57df\u4f86\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u60f3\u8981\u4e86\u89e3\u6c83\u723e\u5fb7\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u8b80\u8005\u53ef\u4ee5\u9ede\u6b64\u300c<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/apps.dtic.mil\/dtic\/tr\/fulltext\/u2\/a091073.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">A Method of Estimating Plane Vulnerability Based on Damage of Survivors<\/a>\u00a0by Arthur Wald 1943 (reprint 1980)\u300d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E5%80%96%E5%AD%98%E8%80%85%E5%81%8F%E5%B7%AE%E6%98%AF%E4%BB%80%E9%BA%BC%E6%84%8F%E6%80%9D%EF%BC%9F\"><\/span>\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\u610f\u601d\uff1f<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u770b\u5b8c\u6848\u4f8b\u6211\u5011\u53ef\u4ee5\u7406\u89e3\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u7684\u610f\u601d\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u6211\u5011\u53ea\u770b\u5230\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u7684\u6578\u64da\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u5011\u9700\u8981\u77e5\u9053\u4e00\u4ef6\u4e8b\uff0c\u90a3\u5c31\u662f\u80cc\u5f8c\u5176\u5be6\u9084\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u5df2\u7136\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7121\u6cd5\u98db\u56de\uff0c\u9019\u4e5f\u662f\u300c\u6b7b\u4eba\u4e0d\u6703\u8aaa\u8a71\u300d\u5225\u7a31\u7684\u7531\u4f86\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u800c\u5f8c\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u4f86\u63cf\u8ff0\u300c\u4f60\u6240\u770b\u898b\u7684\u4e8b\u7269\u53ea\u662f\u6d3b\u4e0b\u4f86\u7684\u6210\u529f\u8005\uff0c\u4f46\u4f60\u66f4\u61c9\u8a72\u6ce8\u610f\u5230\u80cc\u5f8c\u7684\u5931\u6557\u8005\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u90a3\u53cd\u800c\u662f\u4f60\u66f4\u61c9\u8a72\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6bd4\u5982\u8aaa\u6211\u5011\u73fe\u5728\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u5230\u5f88\u591a\u7684\u6210\u529f\u8005\u7684\u6848\u4f8b\uff0c\u4e0d\u7ba1\u662f\u8cc8\u4f2f\u65af\u3001\u6bd4\u723e\u84cb\u8332\u4ea6\u6216\u662f\u90ed\u53f0\u9298\u3001\u738b\u6c38\u6176\uff0c\u5728\u6ce8\u610f\u5230\u6210\u529f\u8005\u5982\u4f55\u6210\u529f\u7684\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u66f4\u8a72\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\u8ddf\u4ed6\u5011\u4e00\u540c\u7af6\u722d\u7684\u300c\u5931\u6557\u8005\u300d\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u5931\u6557\u7684\uff0c\u9019\u6216\u8a31\u5c0d\u6211\u5011\u624d\u662f\u66f4\u6709\u5e6b\u52a9\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group has-palette-color-6-background-color has-background is-layout-constrained wp-block-group-is-layout-constrained\">\n<p>\u5ef6\u4f38\u95b1\u8b80\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li><a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/home-bias\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Home Bias\u300c\u8fd1\u9109\u504f\u8aa4\u300d\u4ecb\u7d39<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=/index.html"https:\/\/\/what-is-murphys-law\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u83ab\u975e\u5b9a\u5f8b\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\u610f\u601d\uff1f\u89e3\u91cb\uff1f<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E4%BB%A5%E5%95%86%E6%A5%AD%E7%82%BA%E4%BE%8B%E7%9A%84%E5%80%96%E5%AD%98%E8%80%85%E5%81%8F%E5%B7%AE\"><\/span>\u4ee5\u5546\u696d\u70ba\u4f8b\u7684\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1000\" height=\"563\" src=/index.html"https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/\u5546\u696d\u4e2d\u7684\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee.jpg\" alt=\"\u5546\u696d\u4e2d\u7684\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\" class=\"wp-image-8546\" title=\"\u5546\u696d\u4e2d\u7684\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\" srcset=\"https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/\u5546\u696d\u4e2d\u7684\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/\u5546\u696d\u4e2d\u7684\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/\u5546\u696d\u4e2d\u7684\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee-768x432.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u5546\u696d\u4e2d\u7684\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u800c\u5546\u696d\u754c\u7684\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u66f4\u662f\u5e38\u6709\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\uff0c\u5f9e\u8461\u5f0f\u86cb\u5854\u7684\u958b\u5e97\u71b1\u6f6e\uff0c\u5230\u98f2\u6599\u5e97\u3001\u593e\u5a03\u5a03\u6a5f\u5e97\u7b49\u5404\u7a2e\u958b\u5e97\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u4fbf\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u5230\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6211\u5011\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u5230\u6b63\u662f\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u4eba\u71df\u696d\u8a72\u985e\u5546\u5e97\u8cfa\u9322\uff0c\u4e4b\u5f8c\u4fbf\u6709\u7121\u6578\u4eba\u7d1b\u7d1b\u52a0\u76df\u8702\u64c1\u800c\u5165\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u904e\u53bb\u8cfa\u9322\u4e0d\u4ee3\u8868\u672a\u4f86\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u6301\u7e8c\u8cfa\u9322\uff0c\u6b63\u56e0\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u8b80\u8005\u624d\u8981\u66f4\u6ce8\u610f\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u9019\u500b\u5fc3\u7406\u5b78\u504f\u8aa4\uff0c\u9019\u624d\u80fd\u8b93\u6211\u5011\u907f\u514d\u56e0\u6b64\u72af\u4e0b\u932f\u8aa4\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E4%BB%A5%E6%8A%95%E8%B3%87%E7%82%BA%E4%BE%8B%E7%9A%84%E5%80%96%E5%AD%98%E8%80%85%E5%81%8F%E5%B7%AE\"><\/span>\u4ee5\u6295\u8cc7\u70ba\u4f8b\u7684\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5728\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u4e2d\uff0c\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u7121\u7591\u662f\u6975\u5176\u9069\u7528\u7684\uff0c\u7576\u6211\u5011\u770b\u5230\u5225\u4eba\u900f\u904e\u8cb7\u80a1\u7968\u8cfa\u53d6\u5927\u7b46\u8ca1\u5bcc\u6642\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u66f4\u9700\u8981\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\u6709\u591a\u5c11\u4eba\u5728\u80a1\u7968\u5e02\u5834\u8ce0\u9322\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7576\u6211\u5011\u770b\u5230\u6709\u4eba\u8cbc\u51fa\u7372\u5229\u5e7e\u767e%\u7684\u5c0d\u5e33\u55ae\u7684\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u66f4\u8981\u60f3\u9019\u662f\u6295\u8cc7\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u5e38\u614b\u55ce\uff1f\u5927\u5bb6\u5e73\u5e38\u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u8cfa\u5230\u5982\u6b64\u9ad8\u7684\u7372\u5229\u55ce\uff1f\u4ea6\u6216\u662f\u9019\u53ea\u662f\u7279\u4f8b\u6216\u5c11\u6578\u5462\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u53bb\u8cb7\u6295\u9867\u6703\u54e1\u6216\u662f\u52a0\u5165\u5730\u4e0b\u7fa4\u7d44\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u6b63\u662f\u4ed6\u5011\u53ea\u95dc\u6ce8\u7372\u5229\u55ae\u7684\u6210\u7e3e\uff0c\u4f46\u537b\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u9019\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u90a3\u4f4d\u6295\u9867\u5c11\u6578\u7684\u5e7e\u6b21\u9ad8\u5831\u916c\uff0c\u6700\u5f8c\u8cb7\u4e86\u6703\u54e1\u537b\u662f\u6301\u7e8c\u8ce0\u9322\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E6%88%91%E5%80%91%E8%A6%81%E5%9B%A0%E6%AD%A4%E4%B8%8D%E8%AA%8D%E5%8F%AF%E6%88%90%E5%8A%9F%E8%80%85%E7%9A%84%E8%A9%B1%E8%AA%9E%E5%97%8E%EF%BC%9F\"><\/span>\u6211\u5011\u8981\u56e0\u6b64\u4e0d\u8a8d\u53ef\u6210\u529f\u8005\u7684\u8a71\u8a9e\u55ce\uff1f<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u96d6\u7136\u6295\u8cc7\u7375\u624b\u8b1b\u4e86\u9019\u9ebc\u591a\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u4e0d\u4ee3\u8868\u6211\u5011\u8981\u56e0\u70ba\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u800c\u4e0d\u8a8d\u53ef\u6240\u6709\u6210\u529f\u8005\u7684\u8a71\u8a9e\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f9e\u4e2d\u6b78\u7d0d\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u8aaa\u9019\u4f4d\u6210\u529f\u8005\u662f\u505a\u4e86\u4ec0\u9ebc\u4e8b\u60c5\uff0c\u800c\u4ed6\u7684\u7af6\u722d\u8005\u537b\u6c92\u505a\u5230\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5f9e\u9019\u500b\u5730\u65b9\u4f86\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5931\u6557\u8005\u6709\u505a\uff0c\u4f46\u6210\u529f\u8005\u6c92\u505a\u7684\u8a71\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u907f\u514d\u9019\u500b\u884c\u70ba\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8aaa\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u4e0d\u662f\u8b93\u6211\u5011\u4e0d\u8981\u53bb\u807d\u6210\u529f\u8005\u7684\u767c\u8a00\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u8b93\u6211\u5011\u5728\u95dc\u6ce8\u6210\u529f\u4eba\u58eb\u7684\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u66f4\u8981\u5c0d\u6bd4\u5931\u6557\u7684\u7af6\u722d\u8005\uff0c\u7531\u6b64\u4f86\u6b78\u7d0d\u7e3d\u7d50\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5f88\u591a\u6210\u529f\u8005\u63d0\u5021\u8457\u52aa\u529b\u53ef\u4ee5\u6210\u529f\u7684\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u4e5f\u8981\u4e86\u89e3\uff0c\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u52aa\u529b\u4e86\u4e00\u8f29\u5b50\uff0c\u4f46\u4f9d\u7136\u6c92\u6709\u6210\u529f\u8005\u6240\u8aaa\u7684\u6210\u529f\uff0c\u5f9e\u9019\u500b\u7c21\u55ae\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\u6211\u5011\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u77e5\u9053\uff0c\u5149\u662f\u52aa\u529b\u662f\u4e0d\u4fdd\u8b49\u4f60\u4e00\u5b9a\u53ef\u4ee5\u6210\u529f\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9664\u4e86\u52aa\u529b\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u5fc5\u7136\u9084\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u8aaa\u6b63\u78ba\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u7b49\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u8b80\u8005\u53ef\u5225\u55ae\u7d14\u807d\u4fe1\u6210\u529f\u8005\u7684\u8a00\u884c\u800c\u88ab\u8ff7\u60d1\u4e86\u54e6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u8b80\u8005\u60f3\u8981\u95b1\u8b80\u95dc\u65bc\u66f4\u591a\u985e\u4f3c\u95dc\u65bc\u5016\u5b58\u8005\u504f\u5dee\u7684\u77e5\u8b58\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u8cfc\u8cb7\u300c<a href=/index.html"https:\/\/igamepark.biz\/2y0dv\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener sponsored nofollow\">\u5e38\u8b58\u7d71\u8a08\u5b78\uff1a\u62c6\u7a7f\u6df7\u6dc6\u7684\u5047\u8a2d\u3001\u63ea\u51fa\u504f\u5dee\u7684\u6578\u64da\u3001\u8b58\u7834\u626d\u66f2\u7684\u7d50\u8ad6\uff0c\u8036\u9b6f\u5927\u5b78\u6700\u53d7\u6b61\u8fce\u7684\u5341\u516b\u5802\u516c\u958b\u8ab2<\/a>\u300d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><a href=/index.html"https:\/\/igamepark.biz\/2y0dv\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1000\" height=\"563\" src=/index.html"https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/\u5e38\u8b58\u7d71\u8a08\u5b78.jpg\" alt=\"\u5e38\u8b58\u7d71\u8a08\u5b78\" class=\"wp-image-8547\" title=\"\u5e38\u8b58\u7d71\u8a08\u5b78\" srcset=\"https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/\u5e38\u8b58\u7d71\u8a08\u5b78.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/\u5e38\u8b58\u7d71\u8a08\u5b78-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/\u5e38\u8b58\u7d71\u8a08\u5b78-768x432.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u5e38\u8b58\u7d71\u8a08\u5b78<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u88e1\u9762\u8b1b\u8ff0\u4e86\u5404\u7a2e\u5e38\u898b\u7684\u8a8d\u77e5\u504f\u8aa4\uff0c\u904b\u7528\u7d71\u8a08\u5b78\u7684\u77e5\u8b58\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u53ef\u4ee5\u77e5\u9053\u6578\u64da\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u6b3a\u779e\u6211\u5011\u7684\u8a8d\u77e5\u7684\uff0c\u4ea6\u6216\u662f\u6578\u64da\u5982\u4f55\u8b93\u6211\u5011\u505a\u51fa\u932f\u8aa4\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u6c7a\u7b56\uff0c\u60f3\u8981\u66f4\u4e86\u89e3\u6b64\u985e\u77e5\u8b58\u7684\u8b80\u8005\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u9ede\u53ca\u8cfc\u8cb7\u6b64\u66f8\u54e6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" 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